Danny Dorling's Blog
August 29, 2025
Born to Rule is a fascinating book, with only a few small...
Born to Rule is a fascinating book, with only a few small faults. It demonstrates using better data than others have yet amassed, how almost a third of one (good) definition of the British elite attended only one of two universities (Oxford and Cambridge) and how, of those, a third attended only one of only nine elite schools; but most importantly it demonstrates who everyone else who enters the elite is always in some way ‘connected’, and that British society does not appear to have become more meritocratic over time.
The book is written in three parts: Firstly, three chapters concerning who the British elite are and how we can know. Secondly, three chapters on how the elite reproduce and keep their privilege and how people in positions of power who appear not to be from elite backgrounds so rarely are what they initially seem. Thirdly, three chapters on why this matters. The book ends with a concise conclusion and call for action, and a thorough methodological appendix on the sources used –hitherto unavailable details on all members of Who’s Who born after 1830, 214 in-depth interviews or analysis of previous interviews carried out with surviving members, and a further 144 interviews of those who answered a survey. The appendix also details how the probate registry, established in 1858, was interrogated to ascertain the wealth of the elite and their relatives.
The key source for this book is Who’s Who. At any one time only 0.05% of the British public are in Who’s Who. The authors of this book have taken the database from 1890 to the present day and worked out what it takes to be somebody to get into the elite. Over sixty percent of people in Who’s Who are related to some on else who is included. The descendants of people in Who’s Who are 120 times more likely to be in than the general population. Much higher if they attended Oxbridge (350 times higher), and even the graduates of the lesser, but still elite, London Universities are 100 times more likely to enter the elite than the common ‘man’. Women who attended an elite girl’s school are some 20 times more likely than average to ‘become’ elite. Member of the British elite are hardly ever ‘self-made’.
One question is book poses: is how did these families keep their positions at the top of society? It reveals that within just five years of the end of World War Two, the richest 1% of people in Britain began to routinely hide at least 60% of their collective wealth from the government to shield it from inheritance tax; the money was hidden away, presumably illegally. A huge amount of that money had come from colonies, from plantations and from the labour of black and brown subjects of the British empire. Empire still matters greatly. Only 4% of new entrants to the elite are not white, whereas 25% are women and the remaining (almost three quarters of) newcomers remain white men. Some findings are stunning: Not a single person from a family with negligible wealth made it into the British elite, ever (see page 113).
Some of the elite appear to deliberately include lowbrow interests to appear less separated. Born to Rule gives the example of the sociologist (Baron) Anthony Giddens mentioning his support for the football team Tottenham Hotspur among his interests. Others replied to the interviewers’ questions on whether it is possible to distinguish between good and bad taste, in Latin: ‘De gustibus non est disputandum {translation: there is no accounting for taste}.’
I spotted only a single possible error in the book, on page 147. The Freedom of Information request answered by my university giving the income distribution of undergraduates almost certainly only relates to poorer undergraduates applying for means tested help. The authors did express surprise that the income of the 99th percentile of those Oxford university students’ parents was only £100,000 a year, with 1% having higher incomes than that. That was the figure for ones who thought they were poor.
This is an excellent book detailing a meticulous and careful study. Its authors have suggestions to address the problems of nepotism, corruption and lack-of-ability amongst those who still run Britain today. The target audience is sociologists and anyone interested in class, or the UK.
For where this review was originally published and a PDF of it click here.

The original cover of the book (first edition).
August 28, 2025
Asset managers work to increase wealth over time
On July 1st 2025, journalist Polly Toynbee wrote a story in The Guardian beneath the title: ‘To all who think capitalism can drive progressive change, it won’t – and here’s the shocking proof’ [1]. She was writing about the behaviour of one group of what are called asset managers.
I wanted to know what asset managers did, so I looked up an article on the web titled ‘What Is Asset Management, and What Do Asset Managers Do?’ written by Akhilesh Ganti in May 2025. I learned that “Asset management is the practice of investing money on behalf of clients. Asset managers work to increase wealth over time.” [2] This growth appears to be almost entirely in the wealth of the already very wealthy. Ganti’s article suggested that the take of the asset managers reduces to below 1% commission once they are dealing with many millions of a rich person’s assets, and that “There are many types of asset managers. Some work for family offices and wealthy individuals and others are employed by major banks and institutional investors.”
Ganti mentioned in particular the largest asset managers in the USA and how much money was under their control, suggesting that US law required them to put the profit requirements (or words to that effect) of their clients first, above their own personal desires, wants and feelings — and with no mention of any other important goals in a society when it came to asset management. The largest asset managers, and the amount of wealth they manage — wealth that they invest to turn into even more wealth, largely at the expense of the millions of little people who lose out — in descending order are: BlackRock ($9.46 trillion), Vanguard Group ($7.25 trillion), Fidelity Management and Research ($3.88 trillion), The Capital Group ($2.5 trillion), and Amundi ($2.1 trillion).
So, what has this to do with Toynbee’s story? Well, she was writing about a smaller asset management company, Aberdeen Group plc, which a quick web search (Wikipedia) suggests had £0.5 trillion of assets under management in 2024; small compared to the largest US firms, but no minnow.
In her story, Toynbee tells of asset manager Aberdeen’s surprise cut to funding research into inequality. This was done by altering who the trustees of a charity it had set up were, which has “…left those that used its grants for good works reeling.” For 16 years, the asset managers — which she describes as a wealth management and investment company — “sponsored some of the most influential research into inequality and its financial causes.” Toynbee puts the sudden change of heart down to events in the USA, saying that “Wildfires started by President Trump are engulfing global companies as his administration attempts to bar asset and retirement plan managers from considering environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in investment decisions and targets private sector diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) initiatives with executive orders. Companies doing good are at risk. I ask Aberdeen if that’s why it has shut down the trust. It denies it strongly, saying it is just a ‘natural evolution’.”
Natural evolution is a strange argument to raise as a case for moving in a suddenly different direction. Evolution tends to take place slowly, gradually. More importantly, it is what occurs in nature, not something in the very unnatural and inorganic world of Scottish financiers — those not directly controllable by US law. Perhaps the person who coined that phrase “natural evolution” for why the decision was made to possibly cut all the funding into studying inequality and its ill-effects was thinking along more fictional Darwinian lines? The kind of lines illustrated in Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World, which was partly about how some people think of evolution. The questions raised concern who survives and who does not, what charitable bodies can and cannot do, and what is the fit and proper place for activities and people deemed to be of different kinds and different merits.
We now know that the charity funding so much of the now-threatened research could only operate at the largesse of the asset managers. The list of bodies the asset management firm’s generosity used to fund is long and included: the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), the Resolution Foundation, the Royal United Services Institute, Bright Blue, the New Economics Foundation, the Centre for the Analysis of Taxation (CenTax), the Child Poverty Action Group, the High Pay Centre, and Transport for All. It has also funded funeral poverty research by Quaker Social Action and consumer research by Which? At the time the decision was made to end its operations as normal, the trust reportedly had £3.6m promised to various bodies, including no doubt some of those listed above.
£3.6 million is a little less than 1% of 1% of the assets this globally small asset management outfit handles at any one time. Less than 1% of 1% of their monies. But none of the monies come from any of their clients — the charity was set up because of a mutual organisation, Standard Life, being incorporated into the asset managers when it demutualised. Established in 2009 as the Standard Life Foundation, it received a substantial donation from the unclaimed assets of Standard Life’s demutualisation. Most importantly, there is no equivalent funded through any other asset or wealth management firm, so the cut represents the elimination of 100% of this type of financier-funded research into inequality and its financial causes.
One of the organisations having some of its funding cut is the High Pay Centre. The Aberdeen group was titled Abrdn until a change to the more pronounceable version — with the vowels — in early 2025. Have a look at the front cover of the Annual Report of the High Pay Centre published in June 2025, and the logo at the very top. And then look at the slightly podgy man in the brown-green clothes sitting on the tallest pile of silver coins, or at the slightly more suave fellow with the blue suit and red tie striding beside the tallest pile of gold coins.

Figure 2: Front cove r of the 2025 High Pay Centre Research Report
Is it possible that having their logo at the top of reports titled ‘CEO to Worker Pay Gaps in the FTSE 350’ [3] might have annoyed someone whose day job involved overseeing deals that sometimes included people at the top of some of the 350 largest public companies in the UK — as well as myriads of smaller, entirely private companies?[3]
So, what were groups like the High Pay Centre publishing that might cause someone to think they should not be funded? In that latest report, it explained that after a brief initial fall in the greed of the greediest after 2018 (aided greatly by the arrival of the pandemic in China in late 2019), pay inequalities were increasing again in the years 2021, 2022, and 2023. However, the inequalities fell in 2024, as the first graph in that report shows. It is possible to reduce inequalities in pay, even in an era of Trump; but to do so requires reporting and observing — seeing what is happening and, in some cases, shaming.

Figure 2: Ratios of Top pay to lower and average pay, UK, 2019-2024
Perhaps someone does not want you to know that inequalities in extreme earnings can be reduced? Or perhaps there are other views they fear being aired?
Here are some words from within that High Pay Report, which was funded by asset managers who now no longer wish to fund such work:
‘Limitarianism’ and the re-distribution of earnings
Insights from the pay ratio disclosures are very relevant to an emerging debate about ‘limitarianism’ — the notion that in a world of finite resources, there should be an upper limit on individual wealth — and growing interest in the potential to raise living standards of those in the middle and at the bottom by redistributing the excess income and wealth of those at the top.
The premise of this argument is very simple. Those at the top hoard excessive income and wealth beyond that necessary to proportionately incentivise and reward innovation and productivity. If this income and wealth were shared more evenly throughout society, it would significantly raise living standards. The debate has mostly focused on taxation of the super-rich, in particular a wealth tax on multi-million pound fortunes. However, if we want to address the problem of extreme and inefficient concentrations of income and wealth, then it should be a priority to prevent them from emerging in the first place. This could mean regulating CEO to worker pay gaps.
There has been much speculation as to whether what occurred under the direction of people at Aberdeen was “in the best interests of the charity” [5] it had helped found. The Times questioned why “The chief executive and all ten independent trustees of Abrdn Financial Fairness Trust were removed in a shift away from funding research.” [6] As the old phrase goes, “damaged people damage people, hurt people hurt people.” There will come a time in the future when the decisions made to end the current work of the Financial Fairness Trust of the Aberdeen investment managers will be scrutinised and researched in great detail. I would not be surprised to find it linked through to more general histories of those at the top of British society with the power to harm others — perhaps doing it because they too were harmed, and hold inside themselves an anger? I have absolutely no idea, but I would be interested to know if there are links. [7]
Asset managers work to increase the wealth of the wealthy over time — how long should we tolerate them, and how they behave? When you hear people argue against “a wealth tax on multi-million pound fortunes” — think back to how the richest people in the world try to control the debate, what we know, and what we can know.
References
1 https://www.theguardian.com/commentis...
2 https://www.investopedia.com/terms/a/...
3 https://highpaycentre.org/ceo-to-work...
4 https://highpaycentre.org/wp-content/...
5 https://www.dsc.org.uk/content/i-wish...
6 https://www.thetimes.com/business-mon...
7 https://www.penguin.co.uk/books/40676...
for where this article was originally published and a pdf of it click here.
July 16, 2025
How to Transform an Unequal Britain
When Keir Starmer became Prime Minister he promised ‘change’, and this promise was beefed up in his 2024 Christmas message with his six promises.
1. ‘More money in the pockets of working people’
Note This could be interpreted as more than the future rise for middle class, so lowering income inequalities. It could be interpreted as more than inflation, so increasing living standards. It was not clear.
2. ‘Building 1.5m homes and fast-tracking planning decisions on at least 150 major infrastructure projects’
Note No change from his previous promise of the ’40 new hospitals’ kind, but it might become an actual change. A promise to speed up decisions to make the decisions of whether something may be allowed.
3. ‘Treating 92 percent of NHS patients within 18 weeks’
Note It is worth comparing this to the ambition of the 1945 Labour government, creating an entire National Health Service from scratch, out of the then mess of charity and private healthcare existing provision.
4. ‘Recruiting 13,000 more police officers, special constables and PCSOs in neighbourhood roles’
Note A very technocratic solution to the breakdown of community cohesion and the disorder this can generate. More people walking around in a variety of uniforms, some of them on our streets.
5. ‘Making sure three-quarters of five-year-olds are school-ready’
Note Why not all of them? Or why not school at age 6 as elsewhere in Europe? And very little detail on how struggling families with children under age five will actually be helped, including helped to have hope.
6. ‘95% clean power by 2030’
Note This is the promise the far right attack the most. As Nigel Farage said at the time: “I think net zero is going to be an absolute catastrophe, electorally, for Labour.” Starmer could have said “affordable clean power”.
Contrast the above list to what Labour succeeded in enacting in 1945. The 1942 Beveridge report in which Beveridge was clear that the minimum benefits he proposed “should be given as of right and without means test, so that individuals may build freely upon it,” and that “no means test of any kind can be applied to the benefits of the scheme.” Or contrast it to the list that Gordon Brown produced in his Leader’s Speech to Labour Party Conference made in 2009:
“If anyone says that to fight doesn’t get you anywhere, that politics can’t make a difference, that all parties are the same, then look what we’ve achieved together since 1997: the winter fuel allowance, the shortest waiting times in history, crime down by a third, the creation of Surestart, the Cancer Guarantee, record results in schools, more students than ever, the Disability Discrimination Act, devolution, civil partnerships, peace in Northern Ireland, the social chapter, half a million children out of poverty, maternity pay, paternity leave, child benefit at record levels, the minimum wage, the ban on cluster bombs, the cancelling of debt, the trebling of aid, the first ever Climate Change Act; that’s the Britain we’ve been building together, that’s the change we choose.”
A cynic replies: A winter fuel allowance would not be required in a country with a decent social security system. We wait months, years even, for hospital appointments when our health service was once the best in the world. University student numbers increase. University management can profit by taking more and never mind the declining quality of education provided in return, or the mounting student debt. Half a million children can be taken out of poverty, but by such a small margin that neither they nor their families notice the difference.
Gordon Brown claimed, in much the same way that Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves now do, that almost all good only comes from economic growth:
“Growth is progress. Growth is what has given the world the tablet you’re reading this book on, the medicines by your bedside, the economic breakthroughs that have lifted billions out of poverty.”
That claim of Brown’s appeared in Permacrisis: “A Plan to Fix a Fractured World” a book he authored alongside Mohammad El-Erian (chief economic adviser at Allianz, the corporate parent of PIMCO) and Michael Spence (who in 1999 joined Oak Hill Capital Partners is a private equity firm headquartered in New York City, with more than $19 billion of committed capital). Brown and his co-authors, of course, were wilfully missing. A former Labour Chancellor of the Exchequer and prime minister whose politics were so often positioned as ‘Brownite’ rather than full on modernising ‘Blairite really shouldn’t need reminding by their book’s reviewer:
“They assume the development of a tablet computer is due to economics rather than developments in universities and other state-funded bodies which created the micro-components that that enable a computer to be transmuted into tablet form. Computers, and electricity before that, were not products of “the market” but technological inventions that have been marketised.”
If Keir Starmer wants to aim for a target that is far easier to achieve than he may realise, he should say he wants to reduce economic inequalities by a greater amount than either of his immediate forebears as Labour prime ministers managed, Blair and Callaghan (see Figure below). But to do so means breaking with their, and his, fixation on a model of economic growth that contributes next to nothing towards such a reduction. More often than not, it does the reverse.
… Chapter continues
For the full chapter and link to the original source click here.

Cover of the Starmer Symptom
July 8, 2025
Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
Against the backdrop of recent global house price inflation, this paper addresses the question commonly asked about asset price booms and crises: ‘Is this time different?’ To identify the distinctive characteristics of today’s house price booms, we examined the long-term history of housing prices in five capital cities: Amsterdam, London, Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo. Specifically, we employed house price, annual income, and average expenditure data to estimate real house price indices from the 1620s to the 2020s. The findings indicate that recent house price inflation is distinct not in severity but in synchronicity. The amplitude of house price booms and busts has remained consistent. However, house price cycles that historically moved independently have in recent decades more often been showing similar variations both regionally and internationally in recent decades. Now, prices tend to rise and fall together, but do not rise above the historical peaks of the past.
1. Introduction
Although housing boom and bust cycles have repeated throughout history (Bordo and Landon-Lane 2014), the continuing global house price inflation of the last decade has raised concerns over housing affordability and widening wealth inequality (Piketty 2017). International organisations, including the UN, recently highlighted the severity of the crisis and urged re-thinking solutions (United Nations 2023). The bourgeoning discourse on the housing crisis recalls the typical question regarding all price booms and financial crises: ‘Is this time different?’
We try to answer the question of whether today is different by tracing the long-term history of house prices in five European and Asian cities: London, Amsterdam, Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo. Specifically, we compare historical and modern real house price trends, calculated using house price and income data from different sources, to identify the distinct features of current house price booms.
2. Data and methodology
We collected historical and modern house price data for five cities from various sources and estimated real house price indices to compare them over time and between places. Here, the term ‘real’ means house prices compared to contemporary annual incomes or average expenditures. The minimum value of each data series was used as the base of the real house index and set as 100. The cities we selected were chosen because they have the most extensive and reliable time series data. Table 1 provides the details on data sources and estimation methodologies.
Table 1 Data sources and processing {see published paper – link at the bottom of this page}
3. Results
Figure 1 outlines the five cities’ historical and modern real house price indices. House price boom and bust cycles have repeated several times in the selected cities, while the peak of each cycle does not exceed 500 (five times the lowest ever recorded real prices), except in modern Beijing, where the inflation-adjusted index almost reaches 730. However, Beijing’s Price-to-Income Ratio (PIR) does not exceed 250, so its range is similar to other house price cycles. It is also worth noting that historical house price cycles have moved independently, whereas modern cycles have become much more synced with each other and indicate the boom phase that has recently caused consternation. Furthermore, house prices in Asian cities plunged in the late 20th century when the Asian Financial Crisis (AFC) broke out and Japan’s bubble economy collapsed. Conversely, European cities experienced house price inflation during the same period. Thus, the current global synchronisation is unusual. Given this coincidence, this time might be different.
… paper continues….
For A PDF of the full paper and place of original publication, click here.
Figure 1:
June 27, 2025
The Real ‘Strangers’ Among Us
Those who declare the UK to be an island of estranged individuals are the ones who should be looking closer to home, writes Danny Dorling
Imagine our communities in years to come. The elderly, smiling on park benches as parades of perambulators pass by. The young, pushing grandchildren – Britain’s next generation – and everyone with happiness in their hearts.
Imagine a future of harmony, a sense of community, a feeling of quiet progress. Children doing well and mixing happily with others. Cities rebuilt, renewed; all neighbourhoods safe and clean. Britain a pleasant land of friends and acquaintances, of nods and smiles, of familiarity and comfort. Social hierarchies smoothed down to gently rolling hills of mild privilege above wide meadows of decentness.
During the 1950s, more so in the 1960s, and especially in the 1970s, this future mostly came to pass. Children’s families had security of tenure. They lived in homes from which they could not be evicted if the rent or mortgage were paid – and it almost always was paid. There was full employment (for men). Cheap new housing (for most). New schools and hospitals (for all). A green and pleasant land, if a little rose-tinted around the edges of our memories.
For a time, the most strangest and unusual of all people, the aristocracy, and the somewhat weird servant-keeping classes had largely disappeared – because they had assimilated.
But then new strangers began to appear among us. People whose lives resembled ours less and less. Increasingly speaking differently, living in enclaves, taking much more than their fair share. We did not see their children in the parades of perambulators. They began to bring up their children separately from ours. They hoarded money, looked after their own, and were increasingly remote from the rest of society – while telling us how essential their presence, and contribution, was.
Occasionally these incomers took over whole neighbourhoods, although more often they just built higher walls and clustered together in streets where they felt safer –away from us. As social interactions diminished, they succeeded more and more in avoiding our eyes, and then our spaces. We began to notice that they dressed differently, behaved differently. In their minds the worst thing that could happen would be if one of their children fell in love with one of ours.
The new strangers hid their real religion and beliefs; their laws about what was right and wrong, acceptable and forbidden. They had their own customs and traditions, rituals, holidays, words and manners. They talked of how today is not a progressive era, but a tragic one. They pretended to feel our pain, saying that ‘things don’t always get better’ and implying they had the solution – which was to accept having them in charge. They claimed to be traditionalists – but they were immigrants; the real strangers in this land.
These strangers were once a part of us. They never quite belonged, but in the past they could mostly pass as normal, despite, as children, usually looking and sounding a little different. They might have been brought up separately, in minor private schools, or schools that had been grammars; but back then their parents were not paid that much more than everyone else. They might have had a little property, or been highly successful professionals. A stockbroker in the 1960s was usually not rich, just well-off. Work in the City was once a relatively normal job, unlike today when being successful in finance sets you so utterly apart.
But despite always having had some advantage, in those days they could pass for one of us. In their youth they listened to the same music, and tried to dress and speak the same as us. Today, their children are far easier to identify just from a single spoken sentence, or a haircut, or how they walk tall.

Strangers in the city
Today, fees for private schools are very much higher. To separate yourself, you have to be able to take a much greater share of other people’s money. House prices around favoured state schools mean you cannot live there unless you, or a close relative, have somehow expropriated greatly. Today, no one makes their way into these areas by their own sweat and toil. Inheritance matters once again. This is why they don’t want their children mixing with yours.
These strangers are fixated on you and what you think and feel because they fear you. They need to tell you what is good for you because they have financial interests to protect, and greatly unequal wealth distribution to maintain. They tell you that growth, not redistribution, is the answer. They push a politics of what ‘most people in this country would agree with’. They talk about Muslims and anti-racism ‘wokeness’, to show how connected they are to the masses.
These strangers peddle stories of the dangers of immigrants and ‘grooming gangs’, and how young men need to have strong, macho role models, and of what they call common sense.
To protect what they and their families have stolen – or, in softer language, amassed – they need you to be afraid. Not of them, of course, because they do not want you to see them as strangers – they are your clever friend, they roll up their shirt sleeves and occasionally wear hard hats. Instead, they want you to be afraid of imaginary monsters in the dark.
These strangers inhabit think tanks and policy units. They attend dinner parties and rub shoulders with the great and good of the media, universities and business. We used to call it gentrification when they took over whole neighbourhoods. What an old fashioned class-war concept, they reply. The strangers are pleased if you know that they once attended a state school – their badge of having once mixed. But school choice for their children is a private matter, not open for discussion.
The strangers malign the past, discrediting the old politics of achieving a good home and life for everyone. Instead they promote private house-building wherever there is ‘demand’, rather than better using the stock and space we have.
They are patronizing. They tell you not to worry your little heads over economics. It is complex, they say; and what they are offering is the only way possible. Work very hard, and perhaps you can join the adults in the room who look after the little people. They do, however, have to discipline the poor: those who have too many children, the disabled who do not try hard enough to work, and the old who have not saved enough money to avoid going cold in winter.
In their youth, these strangers had more leisure than most. Looked after financially by their parents, they could travel, and dabble in whatever was fashionable in political fringes. Many have a story of their exciting activist past. They have always lived elite and economically secure lives, but thought they were normal.
They are strangers today because they are as distant from the rest of us as the old-fashioned one-nation Conservatives once were. Some may have a sense of why people in the UK really are estranged. But they will not fit in with their peers if they mention it is really about money; not skin colour, not immigration, not tradition. Very often they cut their political teeth in gentrifying London boroughs around the turn of the millennium. They are almost always white, mostly men, mostly in their 50s and 60s. Often they turn their jeans up to try to mimic the cool of their youth, sometimes to help highlight their statement trainers, or exciting socks.
They are the beneficiaries of social atomisation. The ones whose parents grabbed more and more when the old solidarity was dismantled in the 1980s. They are the products of people who ‘bought well’. Under their rule the price of beer rose in pubs so that only they can drink in them. A third of children in England now grow up in a home owned by a private landlord. Even more children now have no summer holiday. Under the strangers’ rule, schools have been academised, hospitals split into competing trusts, and doctor and dentist become distant.
As they carefully curate their own children’s futures, they peddle myths: that darker-skinned people are the strangers; that racism is understandable and acceptable; that we have to tighten our borders, celebrate the best of our history, grow our military, double down.
They tell us that there is no alternative – other than the fascists who will come if we don’t accept their slightly more mild-mannered, but still racist, future. Under their rule they will deport more people on planes than the last lot. They will appear on our screens with more and more Union flags behind them. And they will warn you of the threat of strangers. In reality, however, it is their kind you will never actually meet.
They don’t live near you or mix with you, and they want far better things for their children than yours: houses, education, private health care, villas abroad. Your children will, at best, work to keep their offspring in the manner to which they have become accustomed. They have no wish to sit on a park bench in their old age, looking out at a mixed society as perambulators pass by. They only imagine themselves as safe if Britain can be an island of strangers. And they want you to fear – or better still hate – your neighbour.
For a PDF of this article and where it was originally published click here.
June 26, 2025
Calling Out Racist and Jingoistic Rhetoric
“…examines the rise of nationalist and exclusionary rhetoric in British political discourse, calling out the quiet normalisation of racism and jingoism at the highest levels of government. Drawing on recent political statements, Dorling argues for the urgent need to challenge these narratives and defend a more inclusive, honest understanding of national identity.”
On May 21st, 2025, former Prime Minister Gordon Brown was questioned about the Labour Government’s possible winter fuel allowance U-turn by the Sky News journalist Sophy Ridge. That day, the current Prime Minister had indicated that he was minded to re-look at the decision to scrap the payments for pensioners who were not the poorest of all pensioners. [1]
Brown appeared to choose his words carefully. By omission, they could be interpreted as implying that he believed that people should be allowed to fall into poverty if they had not “served the country well.” But why promote a policy that appeared to differentiate between an undeserving-poor and the apparently deserving-poor? And why make some kind of measure of national service or patriotism the loadstone of determination? Here is what he said exactly: “To me the issue is, nobody should be pushed into poverty if they’re doing the right thing. Nobody who’s working hard, or nobody who’s served their country well over their lifetime, should be pushed into poverty, if we can avoid it.”
You might read those words another way. You might not worry about the phrase ‘the right thing’ or ‘their country’. You might not note, perhaps with surprise, the emphasis on hard work as what is required not to be pushed into poverty (‘working hard’). You might, or might not, be concerned that ‘served their country’ is mentioned with all its military overtones. You might not have noticed the caveat at the end about this all only being conditional: ‘if we can avoid it’.
You might think I am being pedantic, splitting hairs, pointing out small issues and giving them undue importance. That might be the case, if it were only one aged former Prime Minister saying such things. But Brown’s comments appeared as part of a pattern of talking up the rights of some people of this country, especially those who had ‘served well’, and by omission talking down others not mentioned. Note also that this older population mentioned here are largely white. However, it was not just older people who had served that were being highlighted by former and current government ministers and Prime Ministers in the springtime. White children were also being singled out.
Just over a week after Brown spoke, the Labour Government’s Education Secretary, Bridget Phillipson, launched what was termed: ‘an independent inquiry into white working-class children’s progress at school’. The Times newspaper reported this announcement under the headline ‘White working-class children “betrayed by politicians”’, and quoted Phillipson as saying: “The data shows a clear picture. Across attendance, attainment and life chances, white working-class children and those with special educational needs and disabilities do exceptionally poorly. Put simply, these children have been betrayed — left behind in society’s rear-view mirror. They are children whose interests too many politicians have simply discarded.” [2]
Anyone who speaks in public chooses which statistics to highlight and how to interpret them, what to put emphasis on, and what to ignore. Data never shows a clear picture. It is just numbers. The description of data reveals the picture that the person interpreting it chooses to paint, and how they choose to present it. This does not mean that anything goes. A lie is clearly a lie, a fact is clearly a fact, but data doesn’t contain words like ‘betrayal’, or show that it is because some children are both white and working class that they do badly. What it does show is that children in London do especially well, and that is not, of course, because of the often-darker colour of their skin. It is because they live in London; it is their geography, not their class or ethnicity, that matters most here.
The advisers to ministers will know this. Over four years ago they will have read newspaper stories of academic reports, and studies from the Office for Students with titles such as: ‘Geography, not race, explains the disparity in England’s educational outcomes’. These studies explained that “white students who receive free school meals in London have pulled away from those in other parts of the country with their rate of HE participation 8% higher than any other region, at 44.7%.”[3] – in other words, being white and probably working class, and definitely poor, was far less of a problem if you had many potential black and brown school friends living in your neighbourhoods.
So why do Labour Ministers and Prime Ministers say such unhelpful things about some groups explicitly being more apparently deserving, or losing out, than others? Why pontificate over who has served the ‘country’ of the UK well? Why concentrate on this apparent white working-class construct both existing (as a useful thing to talk about) and having been apparently neglected?
One reason why is who advises the government now. What happens in the public sector, and why you are reading the magazine this article appears in, is due to the beliefs of government advisers as well as politicians. They determine policy. The coterie of current influential government advisers includes people who say of the Labour party: “It doesn’t know how to deal with race, except to be anti-racist or to go along with DEI [diversity, equity and inclusion]…” [4] — which reads like a complaint about being anti-racist. The same key government adviser goes on to claim: “The problem is that the left has convinced itself that we’re an immigrant nation, and we’re not. We’re just not…”
This should raise more questions. Why do some of those who currently have the ear of power think that the UK is a single nation? We have not referred to Scotland as Northern Britain since Victorian times. Where on earth do they think most of these islands’ inhabitants or their recent ancestors came from? Most people living in Britain at some point in their personal family history, if they go back far enough, have at least some relatives that were from abroad. So many of us even have surnames that mean our father’s father’s fathers were living abroad, not too many generations ago. [5]
If you do not believe me, try to imagine what the decennial British censuses have revealed ever since country of birth was first asked, in 1841. Censuses can be used to see what the origins of us were, back to our parents, through to our great-great-great-great-grandparents. Almost unique among states, the British state has one of the longest records of ‘who do you think you are’, and that is before you even consider that almost all the subjects of the empire were at one point or another legally British. It was the ‘British empire’.
It is perhaps worth noting that these advisers go on to claim that: “Manly virtues of the past that were seen as good things about men – to have courage, integrity – are dismissed now. Boys are supposed to be in touch with their feelings. Well, I’m not saying they shouldn’t be, but there’s more to it than that.” It is certainly worth having feelings, and even more worthwhile being in touch with them. But it is much more valuable to use those feelings to help you always have the courage and integrity to call out racism and jingoism when and where you see it. That is the only thing that quells the rise of these two evils. Both men and women can do that. One tell-tale sign of politics shifting to the right is hearing more talk of what men and women might do separately. The political right is most interested in giving men power and putting women down.
The advisers who talk of ‘manly virtues’ and Britain being some kind of inherent white nation may see their views as reasonable because they are to the left of what a few academics or former academics are now saying much more frequently in public. We now more often hear words which were not put together in these ways so frequently only a few years ago. If you want to know why you are hearing more of what follows, I suspect you need to follow the money and ask who funds these people and the outlets they now publish in.
Here are two recent examples, simply illustrated through two final quotations of this short article. In the first, the writer suggests that the current Labour Prime Minister should begin to more closely ape Nigel Farage. She says: “The left, including Labour, overplayed its hand when it spent years describing Farage and his supporters as ‘far right’ and ‘racist’. To the working-class people across the country who I speak to as a researcher, Labour is no longer listened to. In contrast, Farage, who recently said that family, community and country ‘are the three things that matter above everything else’, seems relevant. That is because the people of the UK want a welfare state and a society that are there to help them, and they don’t care who delivers that, even if it’s Farage. Starmer is now in a very difficult position. Wiley Farage and his army of supposedly thick gammon are outfoxing the human-rights lawyer and the civil-service wonks in Whitehall. Will Starmer continue to ape Farage and Reform’s policies? Who knows. But if he does, it would take Labour far closer to its working-class roots than the party is right now.” [6]
The second example is taken from a diatribe against immigration by another academic/former academic who describes himself similarly as coming from and representing the working class. He says: “Skilled migrant workers are not making significantly larger contributions to the UK economy than their British counterparts, while the much larger number of migrant workers who are flooding this country, and who are not mentioned at all in that clip, are very clearly taking more out of the national economy than they are putting in.” [7]
Almost anyone with a grasp of statistics could explain why migrants into a country do not make that country poorer. It is areas from which people leave and to which people do not come that become poorer. Almost anyone who has a basic understanding of politics or sociology or human geography, or current affairs, or social policy, or history could explain why Nigel Farage is far-right, and why so much of what his messages rely upon is racism or jingoism for their attraction. I don’t need to explain this to you, as you almost certainly understand. If you do not, you are unlikely to have read this far or to read this magazine.
What I am trying to do here is explain how the words of a former Prime Minister and current minister, the quotations I began this article with, are likely to have been influenced by what current advisers close to the heart of government themselves now so often say, which their counterparts would have been ashamed to have said out loud before and usually did not even believe. What I think emboldens today’s government advisers is that they in turn might not view what they say as extreme, harmful or uninformed. They may seem mild when compared to what a few very vocal commentators now shout out so loudly. Those who call the British Labour government to act more like Reform. Ministers speak in a country where others now much more often decry any net value in immigration. Given this background noise, the advisers’ and politicians’ words can appear almost reasonable. What those trying to confront the new British racism and jingoism are really fighting against are the funded, the largely invisible people who ensure that the words quoted above are widely read. There are always people with a great deal of money, often living abroad, who like to play games with a little of their wealth, who like to buy influence. [8]
The answer – the only brave answer, the only answer that has any integrity – is to call all this out. It is to remember the 1960s and the racist slogan ‘no blacks, no Irish and no dogs’; it is to remember the 1970s and the National Front and the calls to ‘send them home’; it is to remember the steel toe caps of the boots of the nastiest 1980s fascist skinheads if you (like me) were a school child then; it is to remember how Stephen Lawrence and so many others died in the 1990s; it is to remember that in the 2000s the word ‘swamped’ was still frequently used in public discourse; it is to remember that we made progress against so much of this; but it is to know now that some people forgot, or never really knew, and will not do the right thing. Call them out. Don’t be polite. I have heard these stories all my life. They come from the few, they come with a hate that is always lurking not far beneath the surface. These stories should not be allowed to pass, not be seen as normal, not in our new dangerous times. We live in a dangerous world, and the greatest danger is the so-called patriots and actual racists – the enemy within.
References
[1] ‘Former prime minister Gordon Brown questioned on winter fuel allowance U-turn by Sky’s Sophy Ridge’, Sky News, 5.21pm Wednesday 21 May 2025, https://news.sky.com/video/former-pri...
[2] Georgia Lambert, ‘White working-class children “betrayed by politicians”’, The Times, on-line at 8.30pm on Sunday June 01 2025, , The Times, https://www.thetimes.com/article/6602...
[3] Sasha Mistlin, ‘Geography, not race, explains the disparity in England’s educational outcomes’, The Guardian, 4 February, 2021, https://www.theguardian.com/commentis...
[4] Sienna Rodgers, ‘Can Blue Labour help Keir Starmer’s government develop a clear direction and sense of purpose? Sienna Rodgers talks to Jonathan Rutherford, a political thinker with the ear of No 10’, Politics Home, 2 May 2025, https://www.politicshome.com/news/art...
[5] The comic Stewart Lee, in December 2013, produced the best eight minute answer to this ignorance. Worth watching if uninitiated: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1cgeX...
[6] Lisa McKenzie, ‘Can Reform become the party of the working class?’, Spiked Magazine, 1 June 2025, https://www.spiked-online.com/2025/06...
[7] Matt Goodwin, ‘How the elite class mislead you –Part 1 of a three part series on how the people who rule over us try and hide the truth from you’, Substack and Goodwin’s website, 19 May 2025, https://www.mattgoodwin.org/p/how-the...?
[8] See the film ‘Undercover: Exposing the Far Right’ shown on Channel Four in 2024, and relatively easily found on-line: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt34192088/
For a PDF of this article and where it was first published click here.
June 13, 2025
Should landlords get more tax breaks? (Yes and No)
Extra regulation and less help with costs have made buy-to-let far less profitable. We ask if incentives are needed to keep the rental market going.
More than a quarter of landlords sold rental properties last year, according to the National Residential Landlords Association, and a fifth expect to sell their portfolio within a year, according to HM Revenue & Customs.
This trend is likely to increase when the Renters’ Rights Bill, which is expected to be introduced this year, imposes tougher rules on evictions and rent rises.
It comes on top of the scrapping of “wear and tear” allowance and increases in stamp duty for second homes in 2016 and the phasing out of mortgage interest relief between 2017 and 2020. Higher-rate taxpayers once enjoyed a 40 per cent saving. Now, all landlords receive a basic-rate tax credit of 20 per cent.
With the buy-to-let market increasingly squeezed, should some of these tax breaks be reintroduced to stop the landlord exodus?
Yes
Paul Shamplina, the founder of Landlord Action, a group that helps landlords with evictions
Full tax relief for landlords should absolutely be brought back. The removal of mortgage interest relief, stopping them from deducting mortgage costs from the tax they pay, has unfairly penalised landlords since 2017.Instead of getting up to 40 per cent tax relief, all landlords now only get a basic-rate tax credit of 20 per cent.
This has distorted the economics of renting and put pressure on the very tenants it was supposed to protect. Landlords are now taxed on much of their turnover, not just their profit, something that would not be tolerated in any other industry.

Paul Shamplina thinks landlords are treated harshly compared with other business sectors
Imagine a shop owner being taxed on total takings without deducting the cost of stock, staff wages, or rent. It’s unthinkable. Yet that is the reality many landlords face.
This unfair tax treatment, introduced by George Osborne, marked the beginning of the end for many landlords, while generating millions for the Treasury and leading to excessive rent rises for tenants. Who are the winners here?
Since then, rising interest rates and new regulations, such as the Renters’ Rights Bill and an impending rise to Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) standards, have added further uncertainty and costs. Together, these changes make the business of renting simply unviable for many.
The result is landlords selling up, good tenants being asked to leave their homes, rents rising, and housing stock failing to meet demand in a country with a long-standing housing shortage.
Beyond finances, there is a wider problem. Landlords have long been unfairly cast as villains, despite being providers of a vital service. Few industries see two parties both benefit from a transaction, yet have one side so demonised. You don’t see Uber drivers or hotel owners similarly vilified by their customers.
Most landlords provide excellent standards of housing, but this goes unrecognised. This narrative must change. Landlords and tenants rely on each other, and a strong rental sector requires mutual respect. Landlords need more incentives, not fewer.
In my view, there should be tax incentives to encourage landlords to offer longer tenancies, greater tenant security, and better housing conditions, the very goals of the Renters’ Rights Bill.
Reinstating higher tax relief won’t solve every issue, but it would restore balance, ease rent pressures, slow the exodus of landlords, and signal that the government values responsible landlords who provide essential homes.
It is time to see landlords as partners in solving Britain’s housing crisis, not the problem.

Danny Dorling thinks the private rental sector needs to shrink
No
Danny Dorling, a social geographer and professor at the University of Oxford
The country’s property market is concentrated in just a small number of hands, with only about 2-3 per cent of people being private landlords.
According to the latest English Housing Survey many private landlords own more than one property, with 17 per cent owning five or more. Those with five or more properties are responsible for 49 per cent of all tenancies.
And the people who rent from them are likely to be the poorest — a third of children in poverty are living in privately rented households, according to the Institute of Fiscal Studies, a think tank.
This was never the plan when rent regulations were weakened in the 1980s. Today our poorest families face the highest housing costs. When I was a child, many more families lived in social housing, which meant most children had security of tenure. If their parents paid the rent or mortgage, they could stay in their school and keep their friends.
Now more people, particularly the poorest among us, can lose their homes with just two months’ notice, purely because the landlord decides to increase the rent, or wants the property back.
If some private landlords sell on the private market because they think they can make more money elsewhere because they are not receiving enough tax breaks, then that is fine.
If an owner-occupier buys it they can usually use the home more efficiently and fill more of the rooms with family members. Private landlords can often have properties that could house families but instead let them out to single young professionals.
For those who can’t afford to buy, the government needs to build more social housing, rather than spending that money on giving private landlords tax breaks.
The English Housing Survey repeatedly shows that the private rented sector provides the lowest quality housing. Stories of hard-up landlords are now the basis of ironic jokes about tiny violins.
Giving tax relief to the already extremely well-off has become unacceptable in a cost-of-living crisis. A home is too important to be another person’s investment. Tax relief is not needed and we should aim to shrink this sector.
OK, the cruise ship industry might suffer a bit; landlords might buy fewer fine wines and art; and a little less money will be left to the children and grandchildren of those who profit from others’ need for a home.
All this is a price well worth paying to reduce the misery that insecurity of tenure and high rents bring.
For the original place of publication and a PDF of the article click here.
June 2, 2025
Foreword to: The Borders Within: Causes and fixes of Geographic Divides by Michael Donnelly
In 1973, Britain was the second most equal large country in Western Europe, and now it is the second most unequal of any country across the entirety of Europe. It has all of the hallmarks you expect to see in very unequal countries, including a life expectancy that has remains lower than in 2014 (other than briefly in 2019). There has been an explosion in foodbank use since the Conservative-led austerity programme began, high university tuition fees were tripled just over a decade ago and have risen twice since. Britain is now also one of the places in the world with the least affordable housing. What this has done is to raise impenetrably high walls segregating people and places – sometimes quite literally walls in the gated communities that shield the wealthy, who have mostly grown so much more wealthier, from the poorer, who are getting poorer. A polarisation has always existed – but the degree of polarisation has not been so wide as it is now for almost a century.
One of the compelling points made in this book is that the conventional wisdom and taken-for-granted assumptions that politicians draw on to try to fix the problem are often part of how the problems came about in the first place. It is clearly of little use to keep re-hashing the same old solutions that are based on flawed logics and will do nothing to fix these entrenched divides. A new way of looking at the problem, and a more radical set of solutions that gets to the heart of what reproduces division, is needed – which all necessitates picking apart some of the fundamental bases of how we live and function as a society and economy.
This book rightly shines a light on how inequality is spatially manifest, concentrating on the gaping chasms that exist between different geographic regions of the UK, but in doing so the work also acknowledges important divisions that exist within regions, towns and cities at a smaller scale – local divisions which I have myself written about at length. As inequality has grown in the UK since the 1980s, so too has the divides between people and places. My home city of Oxford has the same shares as in all of England of both the top 10% and the bottom 10% of the country’s families living together in the same city – or rather, more accurately, living very divided and segregated lives within the same geographic vicinity. They are segregated by where they live, where their children go to school, where they likely shop and spend their leisure time. They may as well be in different cities.
At whatever geographic scale we are talking about, one of the important contributions this book makes is to theorise why divisions between people and place are maintained and how the economic and social system contributes to that. In order for the capitalist economic regime to survive and thrive, it necessarily needs to create difference, to positionally order people and places. The problem comes when it is not tempered and so does this in the most unfair and unjust way – when it is the working classes, and former industrialised places, that are routinely and now for many decades positioned as of less value and importance. The young people described in this book clearly saw this from a very young age – the working classes in Liverpool knew and felt only too well how those in the south of England viewed them. It was often a painful set of negative, stereotyping judgements – the young girl from Liverpool quoted in the book who was subject to nasty comments about her accent, when at a concert in London, is testament to this. It is perhaps no wonder that people stay rooted in the places and people they know in a world of class-based positioning and judgement.
A real strength of the research reported in this book is its multi-sited case study design that spanned all of the UK – it enables you to see how young people in different parts of the countries of the UK viewed and looked upon other places, as well as how they perceived others looked upon them. This is not often done in qualitative research because of a lack of time and resource – it is more often the case that qualitative researchers select one locality and study it in-depth, or at most chose only a small handful of places to compare.
What this book underlines is how much the economy and society privileges the lifestyles, dispositions, consumption practices, and identities of higher social class groups – it is their culture and identities that are ingrained within understandings of what counts as a talented person, or what counts as a place where you’ll likely find a pool of talented people within. It is for this reason why the high growth start-ups set-up offices in places like London and the towns around the M4 corridor. We can see these positional logics reproduced not only in the boardrooms and minds of big business – we can also see them in every day and routine decisions; in so many of the interactions and behaviours of ordinary people. The middle-class parents who are choosing where to live and where to send their child to school, the small business-person looking for somebody who they think will engender trust in their clients, or the choice of what place you might go on holiday. Status and positionality is ingrained in the very fabric of our society and our economy – and this book makes a compelling case to take a long hard look at these underlying aspects of society in greater depth than is usual. We rightly need to question the foundations of how our society and economy functions and how that is stopping any meaningful change.
In the UK, Tony Blair’s goal of sending 50% of teenagers to university was a strong signal of what it was to be respected in society – going to university, and doing graduate level work is what we are told we should aspire to – it is that which holds value and affords people respect. This emphasis only heightened a lack of respect for work that did not require a degree – it sent strong signals that this kind of work, and those kind of workers are not to be respected, or at least respected less. As it turns out, there was not the plentiful supply of graduate jobs that Blair imagined – leading many graduates to feel their degrees were not worth it. The problem here was not a supply-side issue, but rather the respect we afford to different kinds of work and what people do with their lives.
There was no levelling up under the levelling up programme that began in the last decade, many people in the poorest parts of the country, cities and towns, are trapped in unproductive work that does not provide an adequate standard of living – or even enough money to cover the bare essentials, heating, electricity and putting food on the table. The Borders Within talks about the long history of regional policy-making and forensically examines why solutions have been doomed to fail because of their lack of ambition and flawed understandings about why regional inequality persists. No doubt there will be an entire series of postmortem analyses by academics into what impact levelling up funding had on places within the UK. One of the early studies has already shown that some of the most deprived regions of the UK lacked the institutional capacity to produce the bid documents they needed to secure the money – in other words, the Government’s process of allocating funds was to blame – a cruel irony if there ever was one.
In 2025, we see no light at the end of the tunnel in terms of the actions politicians are taking to solve the problem. We see no fundamental shifts in thinking, and at best we see the conventional logic prevail in countries like the UK, and at worst we see a worrying lurch to right-wing politics in countries like the US and The Netherlands that can only end in disaster. People are frustrated and angry at the lack of capacity to change, but they are also increasingly duped into believing those with the answers are those calling for a dismantling of civil society as we know it. Many Western countries, like the UK, find themselves at a critical juncture politically. For the British, the first people to leave the European Union, a key question now is could the situation become much worse. Might the political judders to the far right seen to occur from time to time across Europe be seen in Britain in the near future, but taking a more permanent hold? Could Brexit have just been the beginning of something worse, or could progressive politicians offer people an alternative – instead of so many turning towards voting for ‘anything but this’. If we want the Borders within our communities and between our regions to fall, we are going to have to offer and implement so much more than mere platitudes.
For a PDF article and original source click here.
May 1, 2025
These are the times that try men’s souls
Something is afoot. Recently, the economist Guy Standing invoked Thomas Paine’s old adage, that we are living in times that try men’s souls. Standing’s reference to Paine’ revolutionary statement of Christmas 1776 was offered as a way of potentially understanding just how important what is currently happening, worldwide, is. That statement of Paine’s was made as the United States of America was being formed. Guy Standing quotes those words today as the cohesion, and the power, of the USA appears to be failing rapidly. A United States once again dominated by men, but today it appears to be less and less dominant, less respected, more often ridiculed, and also increasingly feared.
Thomas Paine was one of America’s founding fathers. The men currently in charge over the water in the land he and others re-christened could, in future, be seen as those who most helped accelerate the demise of the USA as a superpower. The USA was a place that until so recently has held so much influence over the rest of the world and so greatly influenced public policies in states like Britain, especially in the last half century.
Standing makes great play of American tech-billionaire Peter Theil’s 2009 article ‘The education of a libertarian’ and the huge influence Theil has had over who is now at the top of American politics, including Theil’s advocacy for the current Vice President. Theil illustrates the kind of views held by many of the billionaires who stood behind Trump when he was elected. Standing uses the 2009 article to show that these people see democracy as being incompatible with freedom; believing that people who receive welfare payments and/or women (in general) are prone to more often vote for income and wealth redistribution and to have greater support for public services. The solution suggested is not to allow them, and perhaps others, or anyone, to vote in future. Standing also quotes Theil writing “…that ‘competition is for losers’, which is why he favoured monopolies. He was anti-free trade, advocated a dismantling of the federal bureaucracy, and for good measure, opposed multiculturalism in universities and all forms of ‘affirmative action’.” [1]
Writing from Los Angeles, one journalist recently told me that in the UK she thought that: ‘Labour are completely failing to meet the moment. I almost spit out my lunch yesterday when I saw their plan for change nonsense. Charts/ statistics/ wonkish and total lack of passion or overarching vision. The Right will clean up unless they [Labour] drastically change course. Immigration is amplified by the erosion of quality of life and easily exploited as a threat to already dislocated and struggling people. … something the Left is ignoring – is the Trans issue. This has a slightly different texture in the US but as the Supreme Court case this week shows, the Right have also tapped into deep concern about the push for children being given puberty blockers etc… and the (also irrational) defence of males in women’s and girls’ sport as a ‘Left gone mad’. It’s working. The Right know they have a strong case on this one. Farage as you know, mirrors Trump in that he is a media concoction. Without its help initially he’d be a side show. They cultivated a monster and the closed world of London media/political and think tank class remain detached from reality. Democrats here are making the same mistakes. Both parties need a bruiser and a gifted storyteller to stand a chance. If they haven’t got an inspiring narrative allied with policies that shift the dial they’re fucked. … In the US taxing the super-rich is popular – and at least Dems talked about that. Labour is afraid of their own shadow. Plus, if they don’t immediately ban all and any foreign contributions to elections, they are enablers, pure and simple. Sorry for the rant. The whole thing is terrifying.’ [2]

Starmer meets Trump
It is mostly women who are speaking out from within the ruling Labour party in the UK. Rosie Duffield’s resignation letter from the Labour Party, explained in the autumn of 2024: ‘Since the change of government in July, the revelations of hypocrisy have been staggering and increasingly outrageous. I cannot put into words how angry I and my colleagues are at your total lack of understanding about how you have made us all appear. How dare you take our longed-for victory, the electorate’s sacred and precious trust, and throw it back in their individual faces and the faces of dedicated and hardworking Labour MPs?! The sleaze, nepotism and apparent avarice are off the scale. I am so ashamed of what you and your inner circle have done to tarnish and humiliate our once proud party. Someone with far-above-average wealth choosing to keep the Conservatives’ two-child limit to benefit payments which entrenches children in poverty, while inexplicably accepting expensive personal gifts of designer suits and glasses costing more than most of those people can grasp – this is entirely undeserving of holding the title of Labour Prime Minister. Forcing a vote to make many older people iller and colder while you and your favourite colleagues enjoy free family trips to events most people would have to save hard for – why are you not showing even the slightest bit of embarrassment or remorse?’ [3]
When government minster Anneliese Dodds resigned in February 2025 she wrote: ‘These are unprecedented times, when strategic decisions for the sake of our country’s security cannot be ducked. … You have maintained that you want to continue support for Gaza, Sudan and Ukraine; for vaccination; for climate; and for rules-based systems. Yet it will be impossible to maintain these priorities given the depth of the cut … the reality is that this decision is already being portrayed as following in President Trump’s slipstream of cuts to USAID.” [4]
In other words, when resigning, Dodds was asking why the Prime Minster of the UK was following the lead of the President of the USA so closely. This hits hard because although Trump may be popular among some in the USA few people in Britain can understand why. As was explained repeatedly in many recent viral posts: “So the fact that a significant minority – perhaps a third – of Americans look at what he does, listen to what he says, and then think ‘Yeah, he seems like my kind of guy’ is a matter of some confusion and no little distress to British people, given that:
• Americans are supposed to be nicer than us, and mostly are.
• You don’t need a particularly keen eye for detail to spot a few flaws in the man.
This last point is what especially confuses and dismays British people, and many other people too; his faults seem pretty bloody hard to miss. After all, it’s impossible to read a single tweet, or hear him speak a sentence or two, without staring deep into the abyss. He turns being artless into an art form; he is a Picasso of pettiness; a Shakespeare of shit. His faults are fractal: even his flaws have flaws, and so on ad infinitum. God knows there have always been stupid people in the world, and plenty of nasty people too. But rarely has stupidity been so nasty, or nastiness so stupid. He makes Nixon look trustworthy and George W look smart. In fact, if Frankenstein decided to make a monster assembled entirely from human flaws – he would make a Trump.” [5]
Of course, there are a tiny number of people and organisations in Britain who do support want Trump’s administration are doing in the USA and dream of that being introduced in the UK. Take, for example the Adam Smith Institute which gives awards to young writers (almost always men) to pen articles, which the institute then publishes with titles such as ‘Britain needs more slums’. In which those in favour of the kind of deregulation going on in the USA explain their thinking: ‘The market desperately wants to provide houses people can live in at prices they can afford – but in the eyes of local authorities these houses are too small, or too tall, or the ceilings are too low, or the windows not energy efficient enough. Sweeping deregulation is the only way to provide Britain with the slums it is crying out for.’ [6]
I normally include a graph or two in these articles so here are two – simply taken from Wikipedia, because some kind anonymous soul has done the hard work and done it well.[7] The first shows all polls in the UK since the General Election last year. Together, the Conservatives and Reform polls combined are roughly twice those of Labour. The second graph shows something similar for Scotland; but that there, the SNP provides an alternative to this that is growing in strength, and Labour have plummeted more quickly in popularity from 35% to 18%.

Recent UK opinion polls according to Wikipedia, July 2024 – April 2025
In 1935 Sinclair Lewis published the USA best-seller ‘It Can’t Happen Here’ warning Americans through the story of a presidential who ‘who promises poor, angry voters that he will make America proud and prosperous once more, but takes the country down a far darker path.’[8] It is now happening there. It could happen here. It is unlikely to happen in Scotland. What happens in future to the public sectors depends on politics most of all.

Recent opinion polls in Scotland according to Wikipedia, July 2024 – February 2025
References
1. https://labourhub.org.uk/2025/04/10/t...
2. Whose name I keep anonymous as these are not safe times to name everyone.
3. https://news.sky.com/story/rosie-duff...
4. https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...
5. https://thenewgeneration.blog/2025/01...
6. https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/planni...
7. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion...
8. https://www.openculture.com/2018/07/p...
For where this article was originally published and a PDF click here.
April 16, 2025
Westminster needs to follow Scotland in tackling child poverty
Another Spring in the UK, another set of statistics are released on child poverty. The British government does this just once a year. It could choose to do it more often if it cared more. It could choose to update the statistics as frequently as for GDP, or as often as inflation statistics are released; but our political leaders do not prioritise poverty and the extremely high levels of income inequality that underlie the remarkable extent of poverty which now pervades the countries of these islands.
The statistics released in March revealed that the 10 largest rises in child poverty in a decade had been in some of the already poorest political constituencies in the UK: Middlesbrough, Leeds (South), Liverpool (Riverside), Birmingham (Hodge Hill, Ladywood, Yardley and Erdington), Grimsby, Blackpool, and Bradford (South). In those areas an extra child in every six or seven was poor by 2024, compared to 2014.
Child poverty has fallen in only twelve of the 650 constituencies of the UK in the last ten years. This is as measured and released by government.
The areas just listed are all the north of England. This is not because poverty has risen most only in the North, but because the measure released by constituency was poverty as measured before the costs of housing are included. If those costs were included, London constituencies like Holborn and St Pancras, Hackney North and Stoke Newington, and Hackney South and Shoreditch would be included in those places that have seen child poverty rise by the highest amounts too. The costs of housing are an inevitable cost when it comes to children. You are not legally allowed to sleep with your children on the streets in the UK.
Child poverty has fallen in only twelve of the 650 constituencies of the UK in the last ten years. This is as measured and released by government. The falls are small in each of them, but extremely significant, especially, the fact that every single one of them is in Scotland. The only places where a lower proportion of children are officially poor than was the case in 2014:
Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire
Stirling and Strathallan
Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Airdrie and Shotts
Dunfermline and Dollar
Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Midlothian
Mid Dunbartonshire
East Renfrewshire
Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke
Rutherglen
Lothian East
The case of Scotland
When UK countries and regions are compared, child poverty is now lowest in Scotland. This did not used to be the case. In the 1990s Scotland, and especially Glasgow, had some of the highest rates in the of the UK, and across all of Europe. The immediate reason for this turnaround and the most recent reasons for the fall only being in Scotland has been the introduction of the Scottish Child Payment during the pandemic by the Scottish Government.
Why did the Scottish government decide that it wouldn’t tolerate rising child poverty anymore, contrary to the Westminster Government? (The administrations in Wales and Northern Ireland do not have sufficient political powers here to intervene enough.)
Why did the Scottish government decide that it wouldn’t tolerate rising child poverty anymore, contrary to the Westminster Government?
Scotland has seen great change by the devolution which Labour introduced in 1997. In many ways its people and press now behaves much more like the people and media in Nordic countries behave. Take, for example the headline of the local paper today ‘Fife Today’ (which claims to have been going – in one form or another – since 1871). On the 7th of April 2025 that newspaper’s headline read “Heartbreaking child poverty figures revealed for Fife” In short, people in Scotland are now much more likely to care about issues such as child poverty as compared to people in England.
That story in the Fife Today paper continued with this statement: “…Figures from the Department for Work and Pensions show 11,038 children under 16 in Fife were living in relative poverty in the year to March – down from 12,118 the year before. … Across the UK, 2.7 million (22 per cent) children were living in relative poverty, including 145,804 (16 per cent) children in Scotland.”
So, in Fife, high child poverty figures are still presented as heartbreaking even when falling by over one thousand children in a year. In contrast, the BBC, when writing about child poverty across the UK said: “Separately, the Scottish government has missed its legal targets for reducing child poverty for 2023-24.” The focus of the main story was Scotland missing its targets, and only later on in the analysis section is, there an admission that the Scottish numbers: “…are also markedly better than the UK-wide ones.”
Research published by LSE, when the latest figures were released, explained the situation simply: “The UK Government could lift 700,000 children out of poverty overnight by matching Scotland’s fiscal commitment to driving poverty down.” And the Scottish National Party also pressed the point home: “According to the CPAG, child poverty fell in Scotland, with the three-year average poverty rate falling in Scotland from 24 per cent to 23 per cent – with the latest one-year data showing a fall from 26 per cent to 22 per cent. Meanwhile in England it has risen from 30 per cent to 31 per cent, from 23 per cent to 24 per cent in Northern Ireland, and from 29 per cent to 31 per cent in Wales.”
For the English more left leaning middle classes, The Guardian updated the story it releases each year, the one about how things were worse again: “The figures, released on Thursday, show an extra 100,000 children were living below the breadline in the year to April 2024 – the final full year of child poverty statistics for the last Conservative government. It is the third year running that child poverty has increased.”
The Government is running out of excusesThe idea that we are making short term sacrifices, during which the poor suffer, in order to generate economic growth no longer seems like a viable strategy.
So, what is to be done, or might be done? One possible silver lining to what is happening across the Atlantic with the Trump administration’s attempts to ignite a global trade war is that it blows all of the Chancellor’s excuses for supposed careful balancing of some fictious set of economic rules out of the water. The idea that we are making short term sacrifices, during which the poor suffer, in order to generate economic growth no longer seems like a viable strategy.
Without a doubt, the Government will blame any further cuts to welfare to a continuously shifting global order, instigated by the Trump administration. We have heard a lot about the importance of safety and national security during these times. His Majesty’s executives like to say: “The first duty of the government is to keep citizens safe and the country secure.“
But providing food and shelter from cold for the citizens who are children is also a big part of keeping them safe. Of course, ideally you keep all citizens safe and secure. But in a crisis when your resources are limited, it is the children you secure first.
Within the UK, Scotland has shown what can be done and needs to be done. It is almost impossible to imagine now that the UK government will not, grudgingly, begin to change direction.
For a PDF of this article and the original source click here.
References
[1] https://www.gov.uk/government/statist...
[2] https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/...
[3] https://www.dannydorling.org/?p=9803
[4] https://www.fifetoday.co.uk/news/peop...
[5] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c...
[6] https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c...
[7] https://www.lse.ac.uk/News/Latest-new...
[8] https://www.snp.org/scotland-is-the-o...
[9] https://www.theguardian.com/society/2...
[10] https://www.gov.uk/government/organis...
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